Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor will full their trilogy at UFC 264 at T-Cell Area in Las Vegas on July 10.
The 2 will sq. off in a rubber match after McGregor gained the primary struggle by knockout in 2014 with Poirier returning the favor earlier this yr.
Not solely is the struggle for bragging rights, however it’ll have heavy implications on the light-weight division the place Charles Oliveira at present reigns because the king of the division.
With a lot on the road, there are many alternatives for potential bettors to search out worth and Sporting Information presents their perception on guess this weekend.
All odds courtesy of FanDuel
UFC 264 odds for Dustin Poirier vs. Conor McGregor 3
- Dustin Poirier: -115
- Conor McGregor: -104
- Draw: +5000
The third struggle between Poirier and McGregor finds the 2 fighters practically even in accordance with FanDuel. Poirier is a really slight favourite at -115, which suggests you’d must guess $115 as a way to see a $100 revenue. McGregor is -104 so a $104 guess will should be made as a way to earn a $100 revenue if McGregor comes out victorious.
Poirier vs. McGregor 3 prop bets
- Poirier by (T)KO: +190
- Poirier by Submission: +750
- Poirier by Resolution: +600
- McGregor by (T)KO: +130
- McGregor by Submission: +2600
- McGregor by Resolution: +850
Poirier vs. McGregor 3 prediction
With their sequence tied at one struggle apiece, it is comprehensible that oddsmakers would have the 2 fighters can be in a useless warmth. However there’s a vital statistic to contemplate heading into the rubber match. There have been 13 trilogies which have been fought completely within the UFC. Getting into the third struggle, the fighter who wins the second struggle additionally wins the third 70% of the time. That may be chalked up to a couple issues however most necessary is that the fighter who gained the second struggle figured one thing out about his/her opponent whereas the loser of the second struggle nonetheless has that almost all latest loss behind their thoughts. McGregor may certainly defy these odds towards Poirier however in case you are a betting man, there’s actually no worth in betting on both straight up. As an alternative, a prop guess will yield probably the most bang on your buck.
McGregor actually has one path to victory and that is a knockout. Of his 22 profession wins, 19 have come by the use of knockout with solely two choices and one submission. A kind of choices was towards a bigger man in Nate Diaz at welterweight whereas the opposite was when he beat Max Holloway with a torn ACL. That submission got here practically a decade in the past earlier than he was within the UFC. It is knockout or bust and at +130 it is the one logical play.
Nevertheless, Poirier has proven large development as a fighter and has slid comfortably into the light-weight division with excessive profile wins over the likes of Max Holloway, Justin Gaethje and Eddie Alvarez. It is also value noting that McGregor is barely 3-3 outdoors of the featherweight division and all three of his losses have come inside the gap. Should you add in the truth that the fighter who gained the second struggle additionally wins the third with regards to trilogies, all of it is sensible to position a wager on Poirier. Nevertheless, betting on Poirier straight-up presents no worth. As an alternative, a stoppage is the most certainly route.
McGregor’s three UFC losses have all come by the use of stoppage. He was knocked out by Poirier and submitted by each Nate Diaz and Khabib Nurmagomedov. Poirier is greater than able to knocking McGregor out once more however he is additionally absolutely able to securing a submission regardless of not having a real submission victory in 9 years (his submission victory over Pettis was attributable to a damaged rib). Taking part in it secure with Poirier securing a TKO at +190 is the perfect guess however placing a small wager on a submission victory may reap a hefty return at +750.
Sporting Information Prediction: Poirier by (T)KO (+190)